July 22, 2021—For decades, the European Union (EU) has led the world in pursuing sustainable finance policies, particularly in carbon reduction. Within Europe, sustainability objectives enjoy broad support across the left, right, and center. Last year, the European Commission ratcheted up these efforts by incorporating its “European Green Deal” into its massive multi-year budget program, alongside efforts to boost European competitiveness in the digital space.
June 23, 2021—Over the last three months, global equity share prices have risen, validating our pro-cyclical equity positioning. It is worth noting that within global equities, we have seen a massive dispersion of return performance across regions/countries (see the chart below comparing trailing three-month return performance for various regional exchange traded funds (ETFs) and their larger component stocks).
May 10, 2021—We have all seen the horrifying images coming out of India. The recent wave of COVID-19 illnesses, deaths, and lockdowns are having a severe negative impact on the operations of Indian business, including those listed on the Mumbai Stock Exchange. The human toll of the India outbreak has been devastating and heartbreaking. Moreover, the situation may worsen before it stabilizes, especially if vaccinations do not further accelerate.
March 26, 2021—We are currently overweight emerging markets equities—including Chinese equities. Four pillars support our position. First is our view that the vaccines have prompted a cyclical rally that is, in general, constructive for global equities. Second, we believe emerging markets will see faster economic growth than developed markets. Third, the Asia ex-Japan region, including China, has so far successfully managed the COVID-19 crisis, in our opinion.
March 1, 2021—Some of our advisors and clients have asked whether the Investment Committee (IC) might make a tactical allocation to emerging markets U.S. dollar (EM USD) bonds. No doubt these questions are motivated by the fact that EM USD bonds offer higher yields than U.S. investment-grade bonds and involve return streams that are only partly correlated to those of other asset classes.