November 22, 2016—Following up on our post from last week, The Transition Begins, as we continue to explore how the new administration will impact the economy and financial markets, we turn to a highly publicized topic, the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). As a candidate, Donald Trump frequently cited NAFTA as a “disaster” that had hollowed out U.S. manufacturing, particularly in Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, and Wisconsin.
October 24, 2016–Given the market volatility that followed the unexpected “leave” outcome in the U.K.’s Brexit referendum, it is understandable that global investors would be concerned about any European referendum. Hence, a great deal of global investor attention has turned to an Italian referendum scheduled for December 4.The question on the ballot is whether to strip legislative powers from Italy’s regionally elected Senate.
July 29, 2016—Our Investment Committee (IC) decided this week to close the underweight to emerging markets (EM) equities we had initially adopted in 2013. Our clients have benefited from this underweight, as EM equities had generally underperformed broad international and global stock market indices.