October 30, 2020 — Yes, like many others we’re harkening back to James Carville’s famous statement from the 1992 election of the importance of the economy to voters. The trite expression would likely have been retired by now were it not so accurate. Yet in 2020, it comes with the caveat that this year’s recession was brought on by the most exogenous of events, a global pandemic, and less likely to be pinned on whoever is currently at the wheel.
September 2, 2020—Last week the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) of the Federal Reserve announced changes to its Statement on Longer-Run Goals and Monetary Policy Strategy. That official statement, first adopted in 2012 and only modified slightly in years since, is an important guidepost for markets, as it formally establishes how the Fed interprets the mandate given by Congress.
July 31, 2020—As we head into the weekend, Congress is facing some self-imposed deadlines and increasing pressure to pass a new fiscal stimulus package to support the still-weak economy. The most often cited technical deadline is today, July 31, the official end date of the $600 per week boost to unemployment insurance (U/I) recipients.
May 18—$6.0 trillion. Roughly half of that was recently given out to ease Americans’ COVID-19-induced economic suffering—with nearly another $3 trillion now proposed. That’s atop a U.S. debt tab of over $20 trillion. Our CIO Tony Roth and Chief Economist Luke Tilley discuss why it matters, whether we should be worried, and the importance of having a plan. Please listen to important disclosures at the end of the podcast.Don’t let important insights pass you by.
May 1, 2020—The damage to the U.S. economy resulting from the outbreak and social-distancing restrictions has started being revealed over the past few weeks. Businesses have temporarily shuttered, which has forced a drastic hit to consumer spending. The damage to labor markets was immediately seen in weekly unemployment claims figures. Now we have monthly and quarterly data trickling in confirming the dire forecasts.The most timely and striking indicator has come from the labor market.