May 29, 2019—On May 24, Theresa May announced that she would resign as Conservative Party Leader and Prime Minister (PM), effective June 7. She said that she would stay on as caretaker until a new leader is elected, which is expected by the end of July.
May 23, 2019 – Financial system stress comprises an important set of variables that we continually track. While not always indicative of where or when the next recession will start, we do believe it helps us find pockets of the market that may be more prone to breaking down. Importantly, the Federal Reserve now produces a biannual study, named the “Financial Stability Report,” and its second issue was released two weeks ago.
May 22, 2019 – While 2018 was a notable year for growth in the economy, with GDP expanding at a solid pace of 2.9%, it was also notable for the lack of growth coming from the housing sector. After making modest positive contributions to annual GDP growth in each year of the recovery since 2012, investment in the housing sector by businesses and households (known as residential investment in the GDP accounts) was nearly flat in 2018 (Figure 1).