Capital Perspectives September 2022

Tony Roth |
Investment Management
Capital Perspectives

A defining characteristic of the investment environment this year has been an oscillating market driven by a rapidly changing set of facts and overall investment narrative. We started the year with optimism that we would move beyond COVID-19 and enter a period of slower but more normalized growth. However, investor sentiment plummeted following an inflationary perfect storm.

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Recession or No Recession? Depends on your Definition

Rhea Thomas and Luke Tilley |
Wilmington Wire
Business arrow increase of success graph and growth stock market earnings financial on profit income background with diagram chart investment.

July 26, 2022—It’s hard to avoid the “R” word these days. The question of whether the economy is headed toward a recession has been front and center, almost superseding concerns about inflation. During our May webinar “Growth Scare or Recession?”, we explained our reasoning for the U.S. to avoid the latter, but since that time the risks have risen noticeably.

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Capital Perspectives July/August 2022

Tony Roth |
Investment Management
Capital Perspectives

It is with little remorse that we close the book on the first half of 2022. Whereas the first quarter could be characterized by—among other things—a crisis of confidence in valuations and a historic adjustment in expectations for Federal Reserve policy tightening, investor attention in the second quarter shifted toward the prospects for an economic recession. Inflationary pressures continued to defy gravity, not only in the U.S. but also around the world, and stocks and bonds alike suffered.

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