The Predictive Power of the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index

Anthony Silva |
Wilmington Wire
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May 22, 2017— Measures of consumer confidence loom large in the financial market press. Several analysts believe that consumer confidence indices have predictive power on consumer spending and stock market returns. Some analysts use intuition to suggest that increased consumer confidence leads to an increase in consumer spending, which strengthens the economy given that consumer spending makes up about two-thirds of Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

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Inflation Hits a Speed Bump

Luke Tilley |
Wilmington Wire
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May 16, 2017 — The advance in consumer prices has slowed noticeably in the past two months, prompting discussions about the health of the economy as well as the Federal Reserve’s (“Fed”) planned rate hikes in the months ahead. The slowdown was apparent in the March data for both major measures of inflation: the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index.

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Where Things Stand with the French Elections, Brexit, and Turkey

Clement K. Miller |
Wilmington Wire
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April 21, 2017—Wilmington Trust has been monitoring several political developments in Europe, particularly the upcoming French Presidential elections, the UK general election and the recent Turkish referendum rendering greater powers to its president. Here we will provide our assessment of these developments.A tightening first round in the French presidential race The first round, on Sunday, April 23, is an elimination round.

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