In the April issue of our monthly flagship publication, we feature:On the Record by Chief Investment Officer Tony Roth, where he reveals how the 2020 recession and ongoing recovery differ from past experience, our overall optimistic view of the U.S. and global economic trajectories, and where we see potential risks and opportunities.
March 26, 2021—We are currently overweight emerging markets equities—including Chinese equities. Four pillars support our position. First is our view that the vaccines have prompted a cyclical rally that is, in general, constructive for global equities. Second, we believe emerging markets will see faster economic growth than developed markets. Third, the Asia ex-Japan region, including China, has so far successfully managed the COVID-19 crisis, in our opinion.
While the stock market ran hot for much of the second half of 2020 to date, the bond market has been mostly on ice. In fact, last summer we saw the 10-year Treasury yield plunge to levels not seen since 1786. Yet, yields have recently begun to surge.