Markets on a Knife-edge

Meghan Shue |
Wilmington Wire
Adventurer sitting at the summit of the top Half Dome in California. At his feet the precipice and the wonderful views accompany him.

June 21, 2022—The market has been throttled by upside surprises to inflation, downside surprises to broader economic data, and a Fed scrambling to catch up before inflationary expectations run away. Pessimism is piling up among consumers, business executives, investors, and economists. We remain in the “no recession” camp over the next 12 months but recognize risks clouding the economic view.

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The Balance of Risks

Wilmington Wire
Woman standing on broken tree in rain forest

May 16, 2022—Investors continue to be whipsawed by equity market volatility. The S&P 500 dropped 4.8% last week through mid-day Thursday before bouncing 4% to finish the week down just 1%. The S&P 500 has now logged six straight weeks of declines.In our client webinar last week, we explored whether the market volatility is the result of a growth scare or a prelude to a recession. On the economic side, our assessment is that inflation has peaked, and U.S.

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