June 28, 2021—The Federal Reserve’s latest announcement of anticipated rate hike projections, has the markets abuzz with activity. But has the story really changed? Chief Economist Luke Tilley shares his thoughts on what the announcement means for markets and the trajectory for inflation.
June 8, 2021—Chief Economist Luke Tilley explains our expectations for the path of inflation through the end of this year and into 2022 for the following reasons:The pandemic and stimulus were a one-shot deal—As the economy reopens and people begin spending on services, much of the inflation wil…
May 28, 2021The path for inflation is the most hotly debated issue in markets right now, both because of the direct impact it will have on markets and also whether it will force the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates earlier than expected.
May 17, 2021—As my colleague Meghan Shue said a few weeks ago, the economy has been on a wild ride (much like a Hot Wheels track) and we are expecting strong growth in the second half of 2021. Stimulus, consumer spending of savings, and business capital expenditures (capex) will be enough to push full-year growth of 7.6% in 2021 in our view, with a higher likelihood of exceeding that figure than of falling short.
Rhea Thomas, Senior Economist, Wilmington Trust Investment AdvisorsMay 7, 2021—Markets were abuzz at 8:29 Friday morning ahead of the jobs report with official consensus forecasts of 1 million new jobs added in the month of April and “whisper expectations” (whatever those are) of 1.5 million. At 8:30 those expectations were thoroughly dashed upon the announcement of just 266,000 new jobs added and downward revisions to previous months.