December 20, 2021 – As I’ve watched the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) of the Federal Reserve get more hawkish over the past months I’m reminded of my days playing lacrosse, specifically being back on defense. When your opponent has the ball you should be in a ready position with your weight on the balls of your feet, evenly distributed, and be ready to react to your left or to your right depending on which way the attacker moves.
December 15—The health crisis of the past two years has resulted in acute dislocations among key pockets of the economy, leading to a cycle that is unprecedented. We face inflation that’s at its highest in nearly four decades and the tightest-ever labor market. Chief Investment Officer Tony Roth and Chief Economist Luke Tilley discuss the disconnects within the economy, the anticipated trajectory for inflation, and much more. Please listen to important disclosures at the end of the podcast.
December 1, 2021 – Fears around the newest COVID-19 variant, Omicron, have jolted investors out of a holiday lull, sending risk assets lower, bond prices higher, and whipsawing expectations for future Fed policy. We see the Omicron variant as widening the range of possible economic and market outcomes over the next three to six months.
November 2, 2021 – The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) of the Federal Reserve (Fed) meets this week and the good money says they’ll announce a “tapering” of their long-term asset purchase program (popularly known as Quantitative Easing, or QE) upon conclusion at 2:00 P.M. on Wednesday.
Topics shared in this publication are:The Federal Reserve is using both of its major monetary policy tools, the short-term overnight interest rate (federal funds rate) and purchases of long-maturity U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, known as Quantitative Easing (QE), to support financial markets and the economy.In December 2021 the Fed accelerated the “taper” of its QE purchases and is expected to be done buying securities in March 2022.