About the Author

Luke Tilley

Senior Vice President, Chief Economist

Luke is Chief Economist and Head of Asset Allocation and Quantitative Services for Wilmington Trust Investment Advisors (WTIA), a part of the M&T Bank family. Luke is also a member of WTIA’s Investment Committee.

Prior to joining Wilmington Trust in 2015, Luke was an officer and economic advisor with the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. Earlier in his career, Luke worked as a senior economist at IHS Global Insight (now IHS Markit) and as an economist for the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development.

Luke holds a Ph.D. in economics from Temple University and a bachelor’s degree in economics and history from James Madison University. He is a former adjunct faculty member at Temple University and formerly served on the board of directors of the Pennsylvania Economic Association. In addition, Luke is former president of the Philadelphia Council for Business Economics, a chapter of the National Association for Business Economics.

By the Author

Episode 9: U.S. Federal Debt—From Bubble to Balloon

Tony Roth and Luke Tilley |
Capital Considerations with Tony Roth

May 18—$6.0 trillion. Roughly half of that was recently given out to ease Americans’ COVID-19-induced economic suffering—with nearly another $3 trillion now proposed. That’s atop a U.S. debt tab of over $20 trillion. Our CIO Tony Roth and Chief Economist Luke Tilley discuss why it matters, whether we should be worried, and the importance of having a plan. Please listen to important disclosures at the end of the podcast.Don’t let important insights pass you by.


Damage Control: The Economic Fallout of Outbreak and the Fed’s Response So Far

Rhea Thomas and Luke Tilley |
Wilmington Wire
The Fed.jpg

May 1, 2020—The damage to the U.S. economy resulting from the outbreak and social-distancing restrictions has started being revealed over the past few weeks. Businesses have temporarily shuttered, which has forced a drastic hit to consumer spending. The damage to labor markets was immediately seen in weekly unemployment claims figures. Now we have monthly and quarterly data trickling in confirming the dire forecasts.The most timely and striking indicator has come from the labor market.


Assessing the Potential Economic Impact of COVID-19

Luke Tilley |
Wilmington Wire
Global epidemics and economic impact

April 15, 2020—The COVID-19 epidemic and ensuing mitigation measures are unprecedented and will produce jarring impacts on the U.S. and world economies. The stay-at-home measures employed in the U.S. and elsewhere include the forced closure of vast swaths of the economy on both the goods and services sides. The first and most dramatic signs of the damage have been in new claims for unemployment insurance, which show 16.


Covid-19 and the Economy: How Bad Could it Get?

Luke Tilley |
Wilmington Wire
American President with face mask against CoV infection. 100 dollar banknote. Coronavirus in United States. Concept quarantine and recession. Global economy hit by corona virus outbreak and pandemic

March 20, 2020—The COVID-19 pandemic is going to hit the U.S. and world economies hard, that much is clear. But the clarity stops there. As we witness the rapid spread of the disease and the ensuing mitigation efforts, we face immense uncertainty about the ultimate economic impact, and, hence, the impact on financial markets.


The Fed Pulls Out All The Stops

Luke Tilley |
Wilmington Wire
Federal Reserve Building in Washington DC

March 15, 2020 — The Federal Reserve surprised markets again and took emergency measures on Sunday night, March 15, including cutting rates to zero and a plan to purchase $700 billion worth of Treasuries and mortgages in the coming months. Late in the day the Fed announced the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) conducted an emergency meeting in lieu of their scheduled meeting later in the week.