July 8, 2021—There has been a very clear shift in investor sentiment in the past few weeks, manifested most clearly by an acute drop in long-term interest rates and a flattening of the yield curve, both in the U.S. and globally. What is much less clear is what is causing this shift that, until recently, has left equities unscathed but may now be broadening to look more like a classic risk-off market.
April 22, 2021—My three-year-old son has a Hot Wheels racetrack—one of the tracks has a portion low and flat to the ground but then takes off at a steep incline before looping and twisting and returning back toward the ground-level section of track. Where the horizontal portion of the track meets the incline is a motorized gear system that acts as an accelerator and gives the matchbox car a speed boost to stay on the track as it inclines.
The power of the purse is increasing at an unprecedented pace. A third of the world’s financial assets is now under the control of women. From 2016 to 2019, they accumulated wealth at a compound annual growth rate of 6.1%. Over the next four years, that rate will accelerate to 7.2%—adding $5 trillion more annually to the global wealth pool, according to a comprehensive global study.
March 10, 2021—The overall stock market has been treading water for a few weeks, with the S&P 500 suffering modest setbacks of 3%–5% since the start of the year (and no pullback of 10% or more since the March 2020 crash). Overall market volatility has picked up with fits and starts but has averaged much less than in 2020.
February 17, 2021—Bitcoin bulls gained another dose of credibility with the recent announcement that Tesla had bought $1.5 billion worth of bitcoin and would start accepting payments for its products in bitcoin.1 Just a few days later, BNY Mellon announced it would hold, transfer, and issue cryptocurrencies on behalf of asset management clients.