March 10, 2021—The overall stock market has been treading water for a few weeks, with the S&P 500 suffering modest setbacks of 3%–5% since the start of the year (and no pullback of 10% or more since the March 2020 crash). Overall market volatility has picked up with fits and starts but has averaged much less than in 2020.
February 17, 2021—Bitcoin bulls gained another dose of credibility with the recent announcement that Tesla had bought $1.5 billion worth of bitcoin and would start accepting payments for its products in bitcoin.1 Just a few days later, BNY Mellon announced it would hold, transfer, and issue cryptocurrencies on behalf of asset management clients.
December 18, 2020—It has become cliché to point out that the year 2020 defied all expectations, including those of most investors. So, it is with humility that we revise our financial market expectations and portfolio asset allocations heading into 2021. There has been a divide between the economic trajectory—which has been languishing—and a stock market that continues to make new highs.
September 25, 2020—As the election approaches, the question surfacing more and more in our discussions with clients and other investors is what the outcome will mean for markets. The very nature of this question suggests a somewhat straightforward answer. The reality is anything but.
August 13, 2020—The stock market has crossed another critical threshold on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 breaching the prior all-time high on an intraday basis. While we think the market momentum is likely to continue, we maintain a somewhat cautious stance going forward.U.S. equities have recovered their pandemic losses on a surge of optimism around vaccines, monetary and fiscal stimulus, and a V-shaped recovery.