July 13, 2018— The slope of the yield curve has continued its relentless slide this month, with the yield differential between a 10-year and a 2-year Treasury bond falling below 0.27%. The closer this figure gets to zero, the more suspect investors become about whether the economy can withstand higher interest rates from the Fed.
July 13, 2018— On July 10, the Trump administration announced a new round of potential tariffs on $200 billion worth of goods imported from China—on the heels of the first round of tariffs which went into effect on July 6. As my colleague, Senior Investment Strategist Meghan Shue, wrote last month in ”U.S.-China Trade Tensions
In the July/August issue of our monthly flagship publication, we feature: On the Record by Chief Investment Officer Tony Roth, Don’t Climb a Wall of Worry. In Focus provides a look at the flattening yield curve—what it’s telling us now and whether it is likely to be the usual precursor of recession. Investment positioning and asset class