In June’s Capital Perspectives, “Battle of the Bulls vs. the Bears,” we spotlight the question with which investors are now grappling: Can the economy withstand the twin burdens of high inflation and tightening monetary policy to avoid a recession within the next 12–18 months? The answer is not so simple.We share our views on the likelihood of an economic soft landing, which depends on understanding whether inflation has peaked and how quickly it will decelerate.
In the May issue of our monthly flagship publication, we feature:On the Record by Chief Investment Officer Tony Roth explains that, after an extraordinarily volatile and disappointing stock market in April, we analyze the current economic and market forces at play and set our sights on May and beyond. First, we take an in-depth look at inflation expectations and supply-demand shifts against a dicey backdrop that includes a cloudy supply-chain outlook and COVID outbreaks anew in China.
In the April issue of our monthly flagship publication, we feature:On the Record by Chief Investment Officer Tony Roth explains how in a matter of weeks, it feels as if there have been decades worth of change, from economic, market, and geopolitical perspectives. The S&P 500 has responded with the first negative quarterly return in two years. At the same time, the index is down just 5.