Supply Chain Disruptions: Adding to Upside Inflation Risks

Rhea Thomas |
Wilmington Wire
Europe seen from space, combined with different financial charts. Perfectly usable for topics like global stock markets or the European economy. Highly detailed image, textures courtesy by NASA:
https://visibleearth.nasa.gov/images/55167/earths-city-lights,
https://visibleearth.nasa.gov/images/73934/topography,
https://visibleearth.nasa.gov/images/57747/blue-marble-clouds/77558l

April 9, 2021Recent supply chain disruptions are likely to add to near-term inflation pressures by constraining the supply of goods and services in the economy, just as demand is set to bounce back.Longer-term inflation will remain dependent on the interaction of consumer and market inflation expectations, and the Fed’s new approach to monetary policy.

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Capital Perspectives April 2021

Tony Roth and Steve Norcini |
Investment Management
Capital Perspectives

March marked the one-year anniversary of the COVID-19-induced bear market low. The past year could not be more unlike anything any of us have ever experienced. And while no two recessions ever repeat, this one doesn’t even appear to rhyme with anything we’ve seen in history. The nature of the exogenous economic shock, the depth and speed of the economic collapse, and the extraordinary monetary and fiscal response make the 2020 recession truly unique.

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Praise the Fed and Pass the Patience

Luke Tilley |
Wilmington Wire
Facade on the Federal Reserve Building in Washington DC

March 19, 2021—All’s quiet (for now) on the inflationary front. While we project a lift in the next few months, take it with a grain of salt, as the year-over-year comparison is to a pandemic-induced economic shutdown. Down the road, we anticipate higher inflation approaching 3%, but risk is to the upside—as we expect an improving economy and a largely vaccinated nation back in stores, with money in their pockets.

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