December 8—Employees and job-seekers are very much in the driver’s seat in today’s high-demand low-supply labor market—a severe issue punctuated by the November jobs report. And the labor participation rate remains a critical factor in trying to dimension the long-term trajectory of markets and inflation.
December 1, 2021 – Fears around the newest COVID-19 variant, Omicron, have jolted investors out of a holiday lull, sending risk assets lower, bond prices higher, and whipsawing expectations for future Fed policy. We see the Omicron variant as widening the range of possible economic and market outcomes over the next three to six months.
In the November issue of our monthly flagship publication, we feature:On the Record by Chief Investment Officer Tony Roth, where he likens investing to driving, with visibility as to our destination nine to twelve months from now, but not necessarily clarity on how we’ll get there. The near-term fogginess is linked to the uncertainty around the answers to these three important questions: Where are the workers? When will supply chain traffic jams clear? How high will U.S.