In the March issue of our monthly flagship publication, we feature:On the Record by Chief Investment Officer Tony Roth, where he explores the shift in prioritization among the three major geopolitical and economic risks facing markets right now against a broader backdrop of slowing global growth.
March 1, 2019— At long last, we have an estimate of economic growth for the fourth quarter of 2018. The report, which was delayed a month due to the government shutdown, surprised a bit to the upside, showing that Gross Domestic Product (GDP), adjusted for inflation, grew at an annualized rate of 2.6% in Q42018. There had been a few indications that growth might come in weaker, so it was a nice upside surprise.
March 1, 2019— On March 2, the specter of the country’s swollen debt levels (the accumulation of budget deficits and surpluses over history) will return to the forefront of market attention once again, as the federal government approaches the deadline for reinstatement of the debt ceiling (the limit on government borrowing set by Congress).