December 21, 2018 – The UK is scheduled to exit the EU on March 29, 2019. During the two years since the original UK withdrawal notification, businesses have been preparing for two scenarios: either a negotiated transition to a future free trade agreement or a disorderly departure. Until mid-November, given the troublesome issue of the land border between Northern Ireland and Ireland, it was unclear whether the UK and EU would actually be able to conclude such a Withdrawal Agreement.
July 13, 2018—The unresolved issue of Brexit—the UK’s exit from the European Union (EU)—continues to present ongoing uncertainty for the UK and broader European equities. Markets have already priced in much of this uncertainty. If the UK fails to conclude an agreement with the EU on post-Brexit arrangements, we believe equities will be negatively repriced. If the U.K.
June 29, 2018—During 2Q 2018, it appears that China equity and currency risks have risen against the background of a somewhat softer local economy. A Chinese state think tank caused a stir by briefly posting online a report warning policymakers that they should take actions to preclude a “financial panic.