July 13, 2020—Stock earnings season typically provides a hiatus from the macro news cycle and offers a more granular view into the health of businesses across the economy. As we head into reporting season for the second quarter, we think investors may need to brace for disappointment–not necessarily for the revenue and earnings figures themselves, but rather for the lack of guidance on the road ahead.A whole lot of uglyMake no mistake: the second quarter will be ugly.
June 19, 2020—It’s official. The longest economic expansion in U.S. history back to 1854 ended in February 2020, according to the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER).[i] The coronavirus pandemic ended an expansion that chugged along for ten years and eight months, as business closures and social-distancing measures to contain the outbreak brought economic output to a screeching halt in the span of just two months.
May 29, 2020—Of all the asset classes available in which to invest, the nuances of investing in gold may be least appreciated. Gold is attractive as a long-term store of value or portfolio hedge, but it can also be extremely volatile, generates no income or organic growth, and involves storage costs. As a result, the case for gold in a portfolio is much more gray than black or white.